Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000007 0.000008 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000012 0.000013
2025-01-12 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013 0.000016
2025-01-19 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000015 0.000019
2025-01-26 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000023
2025-02-02 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000013 0.000019 0.000029
2025-02-09 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000021 0.000034
2025-02-16 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000041
2025-02-23 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000016 0.000026 0.000048
2025-03-02 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000016 0.000028 0.000054
2025-03-09 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000017 0.000030 0.000062
2025-03-16 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000009 0.000017 0.000033 0.000071
2025-03-23 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000018 0.000036 0.000084
2025-03-30 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000018 0.000038 0.000093
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000019 0.000041 0.000106
2025-04-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000019 0.000043 0.000119
2025-04-20 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000020 0.000047 0.000139
2025-04-27 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000021 0.000054 0.000173
2025-05-04 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000010 0.000022 0.000058 0.000202
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000010 0.000023 0.000064 0.000240
2025-05-18 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000010 0.000024 0.000070 0.000280
2025-05-25 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000010 0.000024 0.000074 0.000316
2025-06-01 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000025 0.000078 0.000356
2025-06-08 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000026 0.000084 0.000414